Humans envy my swimming ability, but I wish I could read Ed´s blog. Donald Duck
Black Swan Dynamics
The swans are talking to me, as I take a break from biking, and look out into the Søerne.
Makes me think of"meaningful coincidence" and Being Fooled By Randomness ...the architecture of my own brain that thinks things are happening by chance when they are actually happening by design.
Black Swan logic makes what you don't know far more relevant than what you do know. Isn't it strange to see an event happening precisely because it was not supposed to happen?
Black Swan events are The Computer, The Harry Potter Books, Nine 11, Susan Boyle; mainly and increasingly shaped by unlikely twists that nobody can ever successfully forecast. The more we think we know what will happen, the more we will be sideswiped by what will actually happen, which will becomes the in to our sane!
Not only world events but for We the living---it goes something like this: nothing, nothing, boring, hard work, minor breakthrough, work, tedious, nothing, setback, routine, nothing, and then, suddenly – BA- BAM! Out of the blue, a major can of whoop-ass is delivered to my door.The combination of low predictability and high impact is coming on schedule, with my personal globalization, a cumulative effect of a handful of significant shock and awe experiences are having black swan dynamics.
Black Swan events are The Computer, The Harry Potter Books, Nine 11, Susan Boyle; mainly and increasingly shaped by unlikely twists that nobody can ever successfully forecast. The more we think we know what will happen, the more we will be sideswiped by what will actually happen, which will becomes the in to our sane!
Not only world events but for We the living---it goes something like this: nothing, nothing, boring, hard work, minor breakthrough, work, tedious, nothing, setback, routine, nothing, and then, suddenly – BA- BAM! Out of the blue, a major can of whoop-ass is delivered to my door.The combination of low predictability and high impact is coming on schedule, with my personal globalization, a cumulative effect of a handful of significant shock and awe experiences are having black swan dynamics.
We exist in our moment, as Frost said, a present “too much for the senses, / Too crowding, too confusing- / Too present to imagine.Now, looking back, it seems ordinary. It´s like Chris Angel, the Mind Freak with his exhilarating illusions and stunts that make you go "wow" When you start to look at how his magic tricks are done, and retrofit a narrative, it becomes unmagical---retrospectively predictable.
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